The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Close-up of portraits from various bank notes

Monetary Policy Report: Using Rules for Benchmarking, March 2025

This special report highlights ongoing work to benchmark the stance of monetary policy using a range of policy rules that are widely employed in studies of monetary economics.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Measuring Climate Transition Risk at the Regional Level with an Application to Community Banks

WP 25-11 – We base our measure of U.S. climate transition risk on an estimate of an emissions tax’s effect on firm value, aggregated to the region. The size and geographic concentration of the effect depend on the tax’s pass-through to prices.

A row of four colorfully-painted doors.

Mortgage-Backed Securities

WP 25-10 – This paper provides a review of the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market, the ultimate source of financing for most housing purchases in the United States, and one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world.

Event

Apr

10-11

2025

2025 Fintech and Financial Institutions Research Conference

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability

Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month.

Sequential Search for Corporate Bonds

WP 25-08 – We study the magnitude and sources of trading delays in over-the-counter financial markets using a new data set that contains a complete record of all inquiries — successful and not — made on the leading electronic platform for corporate bonds.