The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Blue network patten

How Quantum Computing Threatens Cryptography

Economic Insights — Quantum computers may one day decrypt our data, but banks can mitigate this risk.

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

Quality Adjustment in Industry Deflators Strengthens Estimated Innovation–Productivity Relationships

WP 26-22 – Industry output deflators often miss quality improvements. For these industries, measured productivity growth is understated. Correcting for this strengthens the estimated link between industries' innovation and later productivity growth.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Monetary Policy

Working Paper

International Currency Dominance

WP 26-21 – We propose a model of the international monetary system to study currency competition and the emergence of a dominant currency.

Event

May

14-15

2026

Mortgage Market Research Conference

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Macroeconomics

Article

How U.S. Parents Adjusted Their Time Use During the COVID School Closures

Research in Focus — Philadelphia Fed researchers study how the transition to remote schooling affected parental labor supply, with a focus on the role played by telework and nonparental childcare.

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

Why Is Manufacturing Productivity Growth So Low?

WP 26-19 – This paper argues that mismeasured price indexes account for much of the apparent weakness in U.S. manufacturing productivity. Adjusting for quality improvements raises annual productivity growth estimates by up to 0.8 percentage point.