The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

Regional Economics

Working Paper

A Unified Framework for Transparent Quasi-Experimental Research

WP 26-47 – This paper develops a framework that allows researchers to describe a wide class of quasi-experimental treatment effect estimates using direct analogs of the features that make a randomized controlled trial transparent.

Regional Economics

Working Paper

The Costs of Access: Freeway Disamenities Across U.S. Cities

WP 26-46 – We construct city-level measures of freeway disamenities and examine their association with metropolitan growth.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Macroeconomics

Article

Are Conventional U.S. Manufacturing Productivity Statistics Understating Productivity Growth?

Research in Focus — Enghin Atalay of the Philadelphia Fed and his coauthors adjusted manufacturing total factor productivity statistics using consumer prices to account for product quality improvements.

Event

Oct

9-10

2026

2026 Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis, Methods, and Applications

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

A Quantitative Model of Banking Industry Dynamics

WP 26-45 – We develop a simple model of banking industry dynamics to study the relation between market structure and financial stability.

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

Ideas and Firm Dynamics When It Takes Two to Tango

WP 26-44 – Teams of inventors now produce over 80 percent of U.S. patents, up from just 45 percent in 1976. Over the same period, inventor employment has become increasingly concentrated in large firms, rising six times more than overall employment concentration.