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Bank Releases September’s Coincident Indexes

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Contact: Katherine Dibling, E-mail senior media representative, (215) 574-4119

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The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia today released the coincident indexes for September 2010. The coincident indexes combine four state-level indicators to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic.

About September’s Release

  • In the past month, the indexes increased in 24 states, decreased in 14, and remained unchanged in 12 for a one-month diffusion index of 20.
  • Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 31 states, decreased in 12, and remained unchanged in seven for a three-month diffusion index of 38.
  • For comparison purposes, the Philadelphia Fed has also developed a similar coincident index for the entire United States. In September, it was 159.0. It has remained unchanged in the past month and rose 0.1 percent over the past three months.
  • Delaware's index increased by 0.2 percent to 149.3 over the past month and 0.8 percent over the past three months.
  • New Jersey's index increased by 0.1 percent to 153.8 over the past month and 0.2 percent over the past three months.
  • Pennsylvania's index increased by 0.3 percent to 141.2 over the past month and 0.7 percent over the past three months.

About the Coincident Indexes

  • The indicators are nonfarm payroll employment, average hours worked in manufacturing, the unemployment rate, and wage and salary disbursements deflated by the consumer price index.
  • The Bank also issues leading indexes for the states. These indexes predict the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident Indexes. The next release date for the leading indexes is Tuesday, November 2, 2010.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia helps formulate and implement monetary policy, supervises banks and bank holding companies, and provides financial services to depository institutions and the federal government. It is one of the 12 regional Reserve Banks that, together with the Board of Governors in Washington, D.C., make up the Federal Reserve System. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank serves eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware.

Related Resources

Latest Chart for State Coincident Indexes

Download the map for this month's release. (55 KB)

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