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Friday, July 3, 2009

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Understanding the Financial Crisis

A Perspective on the Outlook, Output Gaps, and Price Stability

Philadelphia Fed President Charles I. PlosserPhiladelphia Fed President Charles I. Plosser gives his near-term economic outlook and suggests reasons why policymakers and forecasters should be extremely cautious in relying on conventional measures of potential output and output gaps to restrain inflation. Read the speech.

Find other speeches by President Plosser.

The EconomyLast update: July 2, 2009, 10:00 a.m. EDT

Business Outlook
Leading Indexes
Coincident Indexes
Employment Data
Housing
Data
ADS Business
Conditions
Business Outlook Survey
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Business Outlook Survey

A monthly survey of manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District.

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Third District Leading Indexes
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Third District Leading Indexes

Predict the nine-month growth rate of the state's coincident index.

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State Coincident Indexes
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State Coincident Indexes

Combine four state-level indicators to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic.

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Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index: Plot Since 2000
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Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

Designed to track real macroeconomic activity at high frequency. Last updated on July 2, 2009.

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